Forecast Friday 📈

15 Day Forecast: 🐂SP500 ▲+0.5% | 🅱️BTC ▲+1.0% | 🏛️10Yr Treasury Yld ▲+0.4% | 🚨VIX Volatility ▼-1.2% | ⚜️Gold ▲+0.3% (as of 7/10/25)

It’s been a while since I fired up the old market forecast model, so here’s what it looks like:

• The S&P500 has been roaring back from the April crash, and the model is pretty confident it will keep rising. One thing to look out for is declining volume and weaking institutional (hedge fund, major asset managers) buying.

• Bitcoin is also showing a lot of unexpected strength and hitting new all-time highs. It feels hard to bet against this thing sometimes.

• The 10-Year Treasury Yield is still hovering near 5 year highs. The model thinks it will go a bit higher.

• The VIX Volatility Index has tumbled to new lows, which feels weird, to be honest.

• Gold 🪙 still feels pretty strong. The last time I published a forecast, I said gold has great long-term prospects, and it has risen about 25% since then. New Middle-East conflicts certainly don’t hurt gold.

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Note: This is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be personal financial advice; be cautious — there is always risk involved with financial decisions!